1. Typhoon Elsie, October 1989.
Formed higher, also gained typhoon intensity (Vmax >= 64kts) when made landfall in Luzon island, Philippine but after passing longitude of 115E, Elsie has weaken and made landfall about 17-18N of Vietnam with tropical depression intensity.
Typh. Elsie is similar to typh. Rammasun but seem to get weaker after passing 115 degree East |
Formed lower and further to 145 degree East, gained typhoon intensity when passing 135E and kept intensifying and begin to degrade after longitude of 113E. Angela was downgraded and completely dissipated when moving into Bac Bo gulf.
3. What's my forecast for typh. Rammasun?
- Rammasun will continue its way straight forward into Bac Bo gulf after passing Hainnan island while keep its intensity at severe tropical storm or weak typhoon. It means that Rammasun will move further north and stronger than its two cousins.
- The difference in month between Rammasun and its cousins also suggest that Rammasun will go further north.
... much more information need to be justified but impossible with those two track maps.
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