This post will summary some of the scenarios of TY. Hagupit track after entering East Vietnam Sea. In 114 TCs in the IBTraCS data set lies within 1.5 degrees of TY. Hagupit location, there are 18 TCs that are active between 23th November to 23th December, and 15 TCs that have similar intensity with current intensity of TY. Hagupit (55kts). Especially, there are only two tropical cyclones which are active in the same period and similar intensity with Hagupit. They are TY. Manny (1993) and TY. Axel (1994).
Let's have a look on the best tracks of Manny and Axel below
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Best track of TY. Axel (December 1994) |
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Best track of TY. Manny (December 1993) |
Both Typhoons downgraded quickly after making landfall and crossing Phillipines and entering East Vietnam sea.
As we are now at the end of the TC season, there is not many chance for a TC to intensify when moving over East Vietnam sea. Hapupit is not an exemption. It should dissipate very soon and very likely to dissipate over the water area.
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