BoM's tropical cyclone track forecast

This graphical product provides information about the movement and intensity of a tropical cyclone, as well as showing the areas likely to experience its effects.

This version of the video uses an example from Queensland

Understanding ENSO

Improve your understanding of the El Niño and La Niña and their impacts on our climate and weather with BoM's new Understanding ENSO video
This video explains what El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is, how the cycle works including the science behind the phases, and the potential impacts on Australia’s climate and weather.

Which scenario for TY. Hagupit after entering East Vietnam sea?

This post will summary some of the scenarios  of TY. Hagupit track after entering East Vietnam Sea. In 114 TCs in the IBTraCS data set lies within 1.5 degrees of TY. Hagupit location, there are 18 TCs that are active between 23th November to 23th December, and 15 TCs that have similar intensity with current intensity of TY. Hagupit (55kts). Especially, there are only two tropical cyclones which are active in the same period and similar intensity with Hagupit. They are TY. Manny (1993) and TY. Axel (1994).
Let's have a look on the best tracks of Manny and Axel below

Best track of TY. Axel (December 1994)

Best track of TY. Manny (December 1993)

Both Typhoons downgraded quickly after making landfall and crossing Phillipines and entering East Vietnam sea.
As we are now at the end of the TC season, there is not many chance for a TC to intensify when moving over East Vietnam sea. Hapupit is not an exemption. It should dissipate very soon and very likely to dissipate over the water area.

Kalmaegi track's probability forecast 06Z 15Sep

Typhoon Rammasun hits the Philippines

Authorities said at least 10 people had been killed by the storm.

Strong winds knocked out power and forced thousands of people to evacuate as Typhoon Rammasun hit the central Philippines.
The typhoon, also known as Glenda, struck the main island of Luzon with gusts of up to 185km/h (115 mph).

Millions without power
Town halls had been converted into shelters and evacuees had also been taken to schools and gymnasiums.
"Trees are starting to fall down and everything is just rain and wind," eyewitness Zhey Anzures told the BBC from a Manila suburb.
"We are also just beside a construction site and the cranes are really rotating because of the strong winds."
Manila Electric Company said 2.3 million of its customers were without electricity.

The Philippines is hit by around 20 major storms a year. Typhoon Rammasun is the first to make landfall this year after the rainy season began in June.
Typhoon Haiyan, which devastated the country last year, killed more than 6,000 people and was said to be one of the worst storms on record.